Blackjack Probability: A Simple Guide
Without any doubt, blackjack is one of the favorite card games among casino players around the globe. So, it is no surprise why this exciting casino game is frequently analyzed by numerous gambling experts. Studies and analysis have revealed techniques and methods which allow players to increase their chances of winning while they are playing this game. The majority of people believe that blackjack is just another game of probability where skills and strategy are not involved. They say that blackjack is not different than slot machines in these terms. However, if you conduct a serious comparison of the odds of winning related to blackjack and other popular casino games, you will notice that the odds are quite high when it comes to blackjack.
As we have already mentioned, blackjack is played around the world and according to some experts, this is the most popular or at least 2nd most popular card game. If you enter any popular land-based casino you will probably find at least one blackjack table. The situation is not different when it comes to online casinos where you can play a single game of blackjack or in a blackjack tournament. As a matter of fact, many Internet-based casinos are offering blackjack online free games too. So, if you want to learn this game or try some blackjack strategy, this is a good place to start.
Understanding blackjack probabilities
Have you ever wondered what has made this game so popular even though it looks so simple? Experienced blackjack players say that they have selected this game due to the low house edge which is set slightly under one percent. If we compare this edge to other casino games, you will probably notice that blackjack winning odds are much higher than most casino games.
Of course, it is good to know that casinos, both land-based and online casinos, are still making a profit from blackjack games and some people might ask how this is possible. Well, blackjack is not a pure game of probability. An example of a game like this is roulette. However, when it comes to blackjack, the steps players are taking in this game will eventually have an impact on the chances of winning and how much times you will see winning cards in your hand. If you are planning on making a profit from blackjack, you should spend some time analyzing proven strategies and methods related to this card game. There are many people who have been using blackjack as a source of income for many years now. In fact, online and land-based casinos are always trying to identify these Blackjack pros and ban them because they are losing a lot of money. Of course, they are not doing anything illegal – they are just great at blackjack.
While we are talking about these players, we would like to highlight their tactics. There is at least one deck of cards involved in blackjack. Every card that was in play is removed after the hand is finished. So, if you are able to memorize the cards, you will be able to determine the probabilities and odds. This is what people call card counting.
Learning more about blackjack odds
Blackjack represents a perfect combination of a game of skill and luck. So, in case you are playing this card game in a proper way, the odds of winning will be much higher. One of the first things that you should do to improve your game is to learn more about blackjack odds. As previously mentioned, card counting is one skill that can help you with this. Every player should try to memorize the cards that were already dealt at the table. By using this information, in case you are convinced that the number of big cards that are still not dealt is higher, the odds are in your favor. It was proven that more small cards left in the deck are increasing the odds that the dealer will end up as a winner.
Learning more about the different blackjack odds is crucial. There are a few different kinds of blackjack odds. For instance, there are odds related to the final outcome like odds that the next card you take will take you over 21 and these odds are related to your current card and the cards left in the deck. In addition, there are odds linked to the dealer. For example, based on the dealer’s revealed card, you can calculate the chances of him or her going over 21. There are also percentages that display the winning chances given the card combination in play. What every blackjack player should understand is that these odds are very important regardless of the casino you are using – a land-based casino or an online casino.
One good example of blackjack odds that we would like to mention are the ones related to the player’s cards. In case a player has 12 points, the chance that the next card will make them go over 21 are 31%. In case the player has 13 points, the chances are close to 39%. The situation is definitely changing once you have 14 points because there is 56% chance to fail. It is interesting that with 15 points in your hand, there is a 58% chance. As you can see, the percentages are not progressing in the same way. We would also like to mention that if you have 20 points in your hand and you ask for another card, there is a 92% chance that you will go over 21.
In order to be successful, you should analyze the blackjack odds for the dealer’s cards too. Obviously, you can look at just one of their cards. So, in case this card is an ace, the blackjack odds that he or she will go over 21 is 11,65%. Jacks, queens, and kings make these odds stand at 21.43%.
We hope that this analysis of the odds and probabilities related to blackjack will help you improve your game.